Demographic ageing and population change is a pressing problem in a growing number of countries. This course introduces participants to core demographic theories, data, measures, and methods. Participants will be informed where to locate high quality demographic data. We will learn how to calculate and correctly interpret demographic indicators such as the fertility rate, the mortality rate, and measures that can be derived from migration statistics. Moreover, we will learn how to forecast populations (using the cohort-component model). There is also time devoted to debating policy-relevant themes. For example, is population decline a challenge for local and national governments? In light of climate change, should we worry about a further increase in world population? What would be appropriate policies to address the challenges that come with demographic ageing and population decline?
Main learning objectives:
1. Introduction into demographic theories and concepts (including period/cohort approach, Lexis-diagram)
2. Introduction to demographic methods and indicators (i.e., difference between tempo and quantum effects)
3. Introduction into population forecasting (using the cohort-component model)
Teaching style:
We mainly use hands-on exercises to understand and practice the techniques. Excel will be used for the calculations.