Looking at the future: Scenario approaches

In recent years, different forecasting and foresight approaches have been developed in the social sciences that include both qualitative and quantitative techniques, and that have found a wide range of applications. Prominent among them are scenario building and related foresight approaches for developing detailed portraits of plausible alternative futures. They offer policy analysts theoretically informed and methodologically sound knowledge about the challenges and opportunities possible futures might present. These methods form a practical set of tools for gaining better understanding of alternative developments, events and outcomes.
The course will review scenario approaches and look at a range of applications.  During the first sessions, we will discuss the range of topics of interest to students and develop a work plan for conducting an in-class scenario exercise.